Combined with past evidence, last night's primaries point toward a possible gain of 8 seats for the Democrats in CA, but most likely just 3-4.
Welcome to the jungle (primary).
Primary and special elections in PA, ID, OR, NE, and AL Tuesday night will give us another look at the fight for the House in 2018. However, what we already know is quite solid.
An Incumbent Republican House Representative just lost his reelection bid to a primary challenger in North Carolina. What does that mean for the November midterms?
Democratic candidates have beaten expectations by 17 points on average in federal special elections since 2016, but are only up 7 points in the national generic congressional ballot polling average. What's with the disconnect?
My posts on The Crosstab rely heavily on analyses of numbers — data science — to suggests conclusions about politics. Read my posts about data science.