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2018 U.S. House Midterm Elections Forecast

Last updated August 17, 2018 03:03:30 PM

How does this work?

Note: I now write for The Economist, which has its own midterms forecasting model that is entirely different than this one. My blog will continue to be a home for all my political writing, as well as host updates to this prediction, so don’t go anywhere!

Chance of Winning a House Majority

Dem. Chance: 76% Rep. Chance: 24%