Hi, I’m Elliott, an undergraduate student majoring in government and history at the University of Texas at Austin with a minor in computer science.
Currently, I write political analyses for Decision Desk HQ, where I mainly forecast and rate elections to the US House. I am also a contributor to The Upshot at The New York Times. I work as research assistant at the University of Texas at Austin’s Department of Government. Past experience includes working for the Pew Research Center, Vote Smart, and the Annette Strauss Institute for Civic Life.
I’m a blogger of political statistics and an avid reader of US History. I hope to write statistical political analyses professionally and someday earn my PhD in American Government and Methodology.
- Here's a PDF of my Resume, which I elaborate on below.
- My blog about data in politics, The Crosstab
- My articles for The Upshot at The New York Times
- Here are links to my:
- Wlezien, Christopher and George Elliott Morris. (2017). Dynamics of (National) Electoral Preferences in the 2016 US Presidential Race. In A. Cavari, R. Powell & K. Mayer (Eds.), The 2016 Presidential Election: The Causes and Consequences of a Political Earthquake. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books.
Notable Features (Most recent first)
- My forecast of the 2018 U.S. House midterm election, which has been picked up by DecisionDeskHQ got a lot of attention by people who see structural electoral bias against the Democrats.
- During my internship at the Pew Research Center I wrote a piece about the degree to which respondents understate financial stress when polled online, rather than via telephone.
- Here's FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver using my model of the 2017 France Presidential Election to argue that Marine Le Pen, candidate for the populist right National Front, is "in a much deeper hole" than Trump ever was. Harry Enten also usedsome of my work on France.
- The Economist used my work on the 2017 United Kingdom election to predict that polls would overestimate Conservative's chances of winning.
- My forecast of the 2016 United State Presidential election was used by Pollyvote in an aggregate of professional statistical models. It was also featured in TIME magazine.
B.A. Government, B.A. History, Certificate in Computer Science from the University of Texas at Austin.
Graduating May 2018
Broadly defined, I’m interested in what informs the political decisions people make and how we can measure (and anticipate) those decisions.
I am pursuing graduate school for these interests, and hope to use a Ph.D. in American Government and Methodology to contribute to the fields of public opinion, survey research, and election forecasting.
My honors thesis will contribute to the growing literature on political polarization, asymmetry, and belief systems by identifying the policy issues that matter most to the two major ideological groups among the American public. I do so by looking at the predictive power of positions on these issues on voters’ ideology across/between parties and over time. I plan to wrap this up in April of 2018.
Pew Research Center Methodology Intern May 2017 - August 2017
- Assisting with the operation of the American Trends Panel including working with users to develop questionnaire modules, interacting with the panel’s contractor team, assisting with data cleaning and processing, computing and analyzing panel performance data, reporting findings and other related tasks.
- Assist Methods staff in working with research staff to provide methodological advice at various stages in the research process, including overall study design, sampling, questionnaire development, data collection, weighting, analysis and reporting.
- Assist with writing methodology sections for reports and maintaining methodology-related materials on the website
- Assist with the design and implementation of other methodological projects.
University of Texas Department of Government Undergraduate Research Assistant November 2015 - Present
- research on the "cost-of-ruling" effect in 100+ democracies.
- a literature review of empathy in politics.
- research on the media’s coverage of public policy.
The Daily Texan Senior Columnist June 2016 - Present
- I wrote weekly columns on various topics, mostly political, including: the 2016 election, environmental policy, higher education policy in Texas, Texas’ 85th legislative session, and more.
As documented above, I have some hearty experience in the realm of political science and public policy. My additional experience and education in history and computer science offers some clear advantages to other applicants, the least of which being my ability to build this webpage. If you have any questions or further comments, please do not hesitate to shoot me an email or tweet at me.