All (that we know) of the the evidence keeps pointing toward a large Democratic wave in November
Are Democrats headed toward another special election upset victory in this historically Republican congressional district, or will a moral victory suffice for their predictions of a November wave?
Another statistical method applied to the House elections might tell us a similar story.
Democrat Conor Lamb swung this southwestern Pennsylvania district by more than 20 points. Here's the data behind his win and what it means for Democrats more broadly in 2018.
The polling says that Conor Lamb (Dem.) is favored, but he could easily lose by double digits to Rick Saccone (Rep.) and still perform within the realm of possibilities.
My posts on The Crosstab rely heavily on analyses of numbers — data science — to suggests conclusions about politics. Read my posts about data science.