Here are where all of my major projects, both present and past, are stored. Click the links to be taken to the corresponding web page!
- 2018 United States Midterms Forecast Donald Trump is an historically unpopular president, yet Democrats still have a tough road to 218 House seats and 51 Senators. What’s the chance they take back congress?
Trump Approval Rating Tracker What does data tell us when we continuously average President Trump’s approval rating polls, “correcting” for partisan bias and giving more stock to the most recent polls? Learn more here!
Historical Approval Ratings Tracker Has the Presidency become a more controversial institution? Find out where Donald Trump stacks up with past Presidents.
Mapping Historical Partisan Shifts America has gotten much more liberal over time — but what about election-to-election differences? Map America’s elections from John Quincy Adams to Donald Trump.
2017 Germany Federal Election Forecast Angela Merkel is up for reelection to her seat at the head of Germany’s Bundestag, and it’s not forecast to be an easy one. Will the Social Democrats rise to an upset victory? Here’s what the math behind polls say. (Archived before election day)
2017 United Kingdom General Election Poll Tracker (and More) Theresa May’s Conservative Party is headed for a near-historic win in the UK’s snap election. Here’s what the polls say about June’s big contest, and what I’m writing about it.
2017 French Presidential Election Forecast The 2017 French election was a contested one, with many wondering “Can what happened in America happen here?” My look at forecasting the first and second rounds of the presidential race using polls.
2017 Netherlands General Election Forecast Will Geert Wilders win power in his anti-immigrant bid for Netherlands Prime Minister? Or will the incumbent Mark Rutte hold status as the largest party in parliament? What is the role of the smaller parties?
2016 U.S. General Election Forecast Wondering who is favored to win the 2016 US election? Here’s where we provide a data-driven perspective on the campaign cycle. Who will win—Clinton or Trump?
Forecasting the 2016 Democratic Primary (Fall 2015 - Summer 2016) Will Bernie Sanders beat Hillary Clinton for the 2016 democratic baton? Find out our prediction method here.
The Daily Texan 2016 Presidential Election Polls (Fall 2016). More information available upon request. A poll of University of Texas students.
Predicting Winners at The 89th Academy Awards In the past, Tweeters has had a pretty good idea who will win an Oscar. Will they be right again this year?
More projects added here quite frequently