Help me keep The Crosstab ad free. Subscribe to premium content and join the community on Patreon.
Become a Patron!

Trump Approval Ratings Tracker


Last updated June 21, 2018 09:15:46 AM

Wondering how Trump’s numbers compare to those of past presidents? Our historical approval ratings tracker lives here.


How Many Americans Approve of President Trump?


Approve: 42.6%

Disapprove: 51.9%

Net Approve: -9.3%


Long Term Trump Approval

The above numbers come from a “correcting” of polls for their varying biases, which we presume come from the different firms that conduct polls with differing methods. I then average all of those polls over the past two weeks, giving more weight to more recent polls released.


Trump Approval by Pollster


*Note: the polls. shown below are a selection of the highest-quality and most frequently fielded. If you want the full picture, check the table below!


All Polls of Trump Job Approval


House Date Approve Disapprove
1 YouGov/Economist 2018-06-19 41 48
2 Rasmussen 2018-06-19 48 50
3 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-06-19 43 53
4 CBS 2018-06-17 42 52
5 Quinnipiac 2018-06-17 43 52
6 CNN 2018-06-17 39 54
7 Gallup 2018-06-17 45 50
8 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-06-14 43 52
9 Rasmussen 2018-06-14 47 51
10 Monmouth University 2018-06-13 43 46
11 SurveyMonkey 2018-06-13 45 52
12 YouGov/Economist 2018-06-12 42 48
13 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-06-12 41 54
14 Pew 2018-06-12 40 54
15 PPP (D) 2018-06-10 39 54
16 Gallup 2018-06-10 42 54
17 Rasmussen 2018-06-07 47 51
18 FOX 2018-06-06 45 51
19 SurveyMonkey 2018-06-06 45 53
20 YouGov/Economist 2018-06-05 39 53
21 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-06-05 38 56
22 Quinnipiac 2018-06-05 40 51
23 NBC/WSJ 2018-06-04 44 53
24 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-06-04 43 52
25 Gallup 2018-06-03 41 55
26 Rasmussen 2018-05-31 48 50
27 SurveyMonkey 2018-05-30 46 52
28 GWU/YouGov 2018-05-30 44 53
29 YouGov/Economist 2018-05-29 39 49
30 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-05-29 42 53
31 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-05-29 43 52
32 Gallup 2018-05-27 40 55
33 Rasmussen 2018-05-24 49 50
34 SurveyMonkey 2018-05-23 45 53
35 Harris/Harvard 2018-05-22 45 55
36 YouGov/Economist 2018-05-22 38 50
37 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-05-22 45 52
38 Gallup 2018-05-20 42 54
39 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-05-19 44 51
40 Rasmussen 2018-05-17 50 49
41 SurveyMonkey 2018-05-16 45 52
42 YouGov/Economist 2018-05-15 39 50
43 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-05-15 45 54
44 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-05-14 43 52
45 Gallup 2018-05-13 43 52
46 Rasmussen 2018-05-10 49 49
47 SurveyMonkey 2018-05-09 44 54
48 YouGov/Economist 2018-05-08 42 45
49 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-05-08 44 54
50 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-05-07 42 53
51 CBS 2018-05-06 40 55
52 Gallup 2018-05-06 42 52
53 CNN 2018-05-05 41 53
54 Rasmussen 2018-05-03 51 49
55 SurveyMonkey 2018-05-02 45 53
56 YouGov/Economist 2018-05-01 40 50
57 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-05-01 48 49
58 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-05-01 42 53
59 Pew 2018-05-01 39 54
60 Monmouth University 2018-04-30 41 50
61 Gallup 2018-04-29 42 53
62 Rasmussen 2018-04-26 47 52
63 SurveyMonkey 2018-04-25 45 53
64 Harris/Harvard 2018-04-24 44 56
65 FOX 2018-04-24 44 53
66 YouGov/Economist 2018-04-24 38 49
67 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-04-24 38 57
68 Quinnipiac 2018-04-24 39 54
69 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-04-23 41 55
70 Gallup 2018-04-22 38 57
71 Rasmussen 2018-04-19 49 50
72 SurveyMonkey 2018-04-18 44 54
73 YouGov/Economist 2018-04-17 38 53
74 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-04-17 39 57
75 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-04-16 41 55
76 Gallup 2018-04-15 39 55
77 NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2018-04-13 38 54
78 Rasmussen 2018-04-12 50 49
79 ABC/Post 2018-04-11 40 56
80 NBC/WSJ 2018-04-11 39 57
81 SurveyMonkey 2018-04-11 44 54
82 YouGov/Economist 2018-04-10 40 49
83 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-04-10 38 57
84 Quinnipiac 2018-04-09 41 52
85 Gallup 2018-04-08 41 54
86 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-04-07 43 52
87 Rasmussen 2018-04-05 47 52
88 SurveyMonkey 2018-04-04 43 55
89 YouGov/Economist 2018-04-03 38 52
90 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-04-03 36 55
91 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-04-01 42 54
92 Gallup 2018-03-31 39 55
93 Harris/Harvard 2018-03-29 44 56
94 Rasmussen 2018-03-29 47 52
95 SurveyMonkey 2018-03-28 43 55
96 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-03-27 42 53
97 YouGov/Economist 2018-03-27 39 49
98 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-03-27 40 55
99 PPP (D) 2018-03-25 39 54
100 CNN 2018-03-25 42 54
101 Gallup 2018-03-25 39 55
102 Rasmussen 2018-03-22 46 52
103 Marist 2018-03-21 40 51
104 FOX 2018-03-21 45 52
105 SurveyMonkey 2018-03-21 44 55
106 YouGov/Economist 2018-03-20 37 52
107 ARG 2018-03-20 39 56
108 CNBC 2018-03-20 39 50
109 Quinnipiac 2018-03-20 40 53
110 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-03-20 41 54
111 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-03-19 43 51
112 Gallup 2018-03-18 40 56
113 Rasmussen 2018-03-15 47 52
114 NBC/WSJ 2018-03-14 43 53
115 SurveyMonkey 2018-03-14 44 54
116 YouGov/Economist 2018-03-13 39 52
117 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-03-13 39 56
118 Kaiser FF 2018-03-13 41 56
119 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-03-12 43 51
120 CBS 2018-03-11 38 57
121 Gallup 2018-03-11 39 56
122 Rasmussen 2018-03-08 44 54
123 GWU/Battleground 2018-03-08 42 55
124 SurveyMonkey 2018-03-07 41 56
125 Marist 2018-03-06 42 50
126 YouGov/Economist 2018-03-06 40 50
127 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-03-06 40 54
128 Quinnipiac 2018-03-05 38 56
129 Monmouth University 2018-03-05 39 54
130 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-03-05 43 53
131 Gallup 2018-03-04 39 55
132 Rasmussen 2018-03-01 49 50
133 SurveyMonkey 2018-02-28 42 56
134 YouGov/Economist 2018-02-27 40 51
135 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-02-27 40 56
136 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-02-26 46 50
137 Gallup 2018-02-25 39 56
138 Suffolk/USA Today 2018-02-24 37 59
139 CNN 2018-02-23 35 58
140 Rasmussen 2018-02-22 50 49
141 Marist 2018-02-21 38 54
142 SurveyMonkey 2018-02-21 43 55
143 YouGov/Economist 2018-02-20 41 48
144 ARG 2018-02-20 36 60
145 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-02-20 40 55
146 Kaiser FF 2018-02-20 39 56
147 Quinnipiac 2018-02-19 37 58
148 Harris/Harvard 2018-02-19 45 55
149 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-02-19 45 52
150 Gallup 2018-02-18 37 59
151 Rasmussen 2018-02-15 47 52
152 SurveyMonkey 2018-02-14 43 55
153 YouGov/Economist 2018-02-13 41 51
154 FOX 2018-02-13 43 55
155 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-02-13 39 54
156 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-02-12 47 47
157 PPP (D) 2018-02-11 44 50
158 Gallup 2018-02-11 40 57
159 Rasmussen 2018-02-08 49 50
160 Marist 2018-02-07 38 54
161 SurveyMonkey 2018-02-07 44 54
162 YouGov/Economist 2018-02-06 40 52
163 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-02-06 40 54
164 Quinnipiac 2018-02-05 40 55
165 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-02-04 46 51
166 Gallup 2018-02-04 40 57
167 Rasmussen 2018-02-01 49 49
168 NBC/SurveyMonkey 2018-02-01 45 53
169 SurveyMonkey 2018-01-31 44 55
170 Monmouth University 2018-01-30 42 50
171 YouGov/Economist 2018-01-30 39 51
172 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-01-30 41 53
173 Gallup 2018-01-28 38 58
174 Rasmussen 2018-01-25 44 55
175 SurveyMonkey 2018-01-24 40 58
176 FOX 2018-01-23 45 53
177 YouGov/Economist 2018-01-23 39 52
178 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-01-23 37 59
179 Quinnipiac 2018-01-23 36 58
180 NBC/SurveyMonkey 2018-01-22 41 58
181 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-01-21 42 53
182 Kaiser FF 2018-01-21 38 58
183 Gallup 2018-01-21 36 59
184 ARG 2018-01-20 35 60
185 Rasmussen 2018-01-18 45 54
186 ABC/Post 2018-01-18 36 58
187 CNN 2018-01-18 40 55
188 NBC/WSJ 2018-01-17 39 57
189 SurveyMonkey 2018-01-17 43 56
190 YouGov/Economist 2018-01-16 42 52
191 Harris/Harvard 2018-01-16 42 58
192 CBS 2018-01-16 37 58
193 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-01-16 39 56
194 Quinnipiac 2018-01-16 38 57
195 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-01-16 45 50
196 Pew 2018-01-15 37 56
197 Gallup 2018-01-14 38 57
198 Rasmussen 2018-01-11 46 53
199 NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2018-01-10 37 53
200 YouGov/Economist 2018-01-09 38 51
201 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-01-09 41 55
202 Quinnipiac 2018-01-09 36 59
203 Gallup 2018-01-07 37 58
204 Politico/Morning Consult 2018-01-05 44 51
205 Rasmussen 2018-01-04 44 54
206 SurveyMonkey 2018-01-03 43 54
207 YouGov/Economist 2018-01-02 38 52
208 Ipsos/Reuters 2018-01-02 41 54
209 Gallup 2017-12-30 40 55
210 Gallup 2017-12-29 38 56
211 Rasmussen 2017-12-28 45 53
212 SurveyMonkey 2017-12-27 41 56
213 YouGov/Economist 2017-12-26 38 52
214 Gallup 2017-12-22 35 59
215 Rasmussen 2017-12-21 44 54
216 ARG 2017-12-20 34 62
217 YouGov/Economist 2017-12-19 38 52
218 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-12-19 35 60
219 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-12-18 41 55
220 Quinnipiac 2017-12-18 37 59
221 CNN 2017-12-17 35 59
222 NBC/WSJ 2017-12-15 41 56
223 Gallup 2017-12-15 34 61
224 Rasmussen 2017-12-14 40 57
225 SurveyMonkey 2017-12-13 40 59
226 PPP (D) 2017-12-12 41 56
227 YouGov/Economist 2017-12-12 38 51
228 Monmouth University 2017-12-12 32 56
229 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-12-12 33 61
230 Harris/Harvard 2017-12-11 41 59
231 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-12-11 43 53
232 Quinnipiac 2017-12-11 37 57
233 Gallup 2017-12-08 37 58
234 Rasmussen 2017-12-07 42 56
235 Marist 2017-12-07 37 56
236 SurveyMonkey 2017-12-06 39 59
237 CBS 2017-12-05 36 57
238 YouGov/Economist 2017-12-05 37 51
239 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-12-05 37 59
240 Pew 2017-12-04 32 63
241 Quinnipiac 2017-12-04 35 58
242 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-12-03 45 51
243 Gallup 2017-12-01 33 62
244 Rasmussen 2017-11-30 44 55
245 SurveyMonkey 2017-11-29 39 60
246 YouGov/Economist 2017-11-28 39 53
247 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-11-28 38 57
248 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-11-25 43 52
249 Gallup 2017-11-24 38 55
250 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-11-22 36 59
251 SurveyMonkey 2017-11-22 40 57
252 YouGov/Economist 2017-11-21 37 54
253 Rasmussen 2017-11-21 44 54
254 ARG 2017-11-20 35 61
255 Quinnipiac 2017-11-20 38 55
256 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-11-19 44 50
257 Gallup 2017-11-17 39 56
258 Rasmussen 2017-11-16 42 56
259 NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2017-11-15 39 55
260 SurveyMonkey 2017-11-15 41 57
261 YouGov/Economist 2017-11-14 34 55
262 Harris/Harvard 2017-11-14 41 59
263 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-11-14 37 59
264 Kaiser FF 2017-11-13 40 56
265 Quinnipiac 2017-11-13 35 58
266 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-11-11 42 52
267 Gallup 2017-11-10 37 57
268 Rasmussen 2017-11-09 44 55
269 Marist 2017-11-09 39 53
270 SurveyMonkey 2017-11-08 41 56
271 YouGov/Economist 2017-11-07 37 54
272 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-11-07 35 60
273 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-11-06 44 51
274 CNN 2017-11-05 36 58
275 Gallup 2017-11-03 39 56
276 Rasmussen 2017-11-02 43 55
277 ABC/Post 2017-11-01 37 59
278 SurveyMonkey 2017-11-01 41 58
279 YouGov/Economist 2017-10-31 40 52
280 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-10-31 36 60
281 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-10-30 44 52
282 Pew 2017-10-30 34 59
283 PRRI 2017-10-30 41 54
284 Gallup 2017-10-27 36 59
285 Rasmussen 2017-10-26 43 55
286 NBC/WSJ 2017-10-26 38 58
287 Zogby 2017-10-25 44 53
288 SurveyMonkey 2017-10-25 39 59
289 FOX 2017-10-24 38 57
290 YouGov/Economist 2017-10-24 37 53
291 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-10-24 35 60
292 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-10-23 42 53
293 Gallup 2017-10-20 36 59
294 ARG 2017-10-20 34 61
295 Rasmussen 2017-10-19 43 55
296 Harris/Harvard 2017-10-18 42 58
297 SurveyMonkey 2017-10-18 39 59
298 Marist 2017-10-17 37 55
299 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-10-17 38 58
300 YouGov/Economist 2017-10-16 37 52
301 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-10-16 44 51
302 CNN 2017-10-15 37 57
303 Gallup 2017-10-13 38 56
304 Rasmussen 2017-10-12 43 55
305 SurveyMonkey 2017-10-11 41 57
306 YouGov/Economist 2017-10-10 36 52
307 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-10-10 36 59
308 Kaiser FF 2017-10-10 38 58
309 Quinnipiac 2017-10-10 38 56
310 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-10-09 42 53
311 Gallup 2017-10-06 39 56
312 Rasmussen 2017-10-05 46 53
313 SurveyMonkey 2017-10-04 41 57
314 YouGov/Economist 2017-10-03 39 54
315 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-10-03 37 58
316 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-10-01 45 52
317 Suffolk/USA Today 2017-10-01 37 56
318 Gallup 2017-09-29 37 58
319 Rasmussen 2017-09-28 45 54
320 SurveyMonkey 2017-09-28 41 57
321 PBS NewsHour/Marist 2017-09-27 37 54
322 FOX 2017-09-26 42 53
323 YouGov/Economist 2017-09-26 37 53
324 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-09-26 38 57
325 Quinnipiac 2017-09-26 36 57
326 PPP (D) 2017-09-25 42 53
327 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-09-24 43 54
328 Gallup 2017-09-22 37 56
329 Rasmussen 2017-09-21 43 55
330 ABC/Post 2017-09-21 39 57
331 SurveyMonkey 2017-09-21 45 52
332 Harris/Harvard 2017-09-20 45 55
333 ARG 2017-09-20 35 59
334 CNN 2017-09-20 40 55
335 YouGov/Economist 2017-09-19 39 49
336 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-09-19 39 55
337 Monmouth University 2017-09-19 40 49
338 NBC/WSJ 2017-09-18 43 52
339 Kaiser FF 2017-09-18 38 57
340 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-09-17 43 52
341 Gallup 2017-09-15 36 59
342 Rasmussen 2017-09-14 43 55
343 SurveyMonkey 2017-09-14 43 55
344 Marist 2017-09-13 39 50
345 YouGov/Economist 2017-09-12 39 52
346 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-09-12 35 59
347 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-09-11 42 50
348 Gallup 2017-09-08 38 56
349 Rasmussen 2017-09-07 46 53
350 SurveyMonkey 2017-09-07 40 57
351 YouGov/Economist 2017-09-05 41 52
352 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-09-05 40 57
353 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-09-03 43 52
354 Gallup 2017-09-01 34 61
355 Rasmussen 2017-08-31 42 56
356 SurveyMonkey 2017-08-31 40 59
357 FOX 2017-08-29 41 55
358 YouGov/Economist 2017-08-29 38 53
359 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-08-29 37 58
360 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-08-28 40 55
361 Gallup 2017-08-25 35 60
362 SurveyMonkey 2017-08-24 39 58
363 Rasmussen 2017-08-24 42 56
364 YouGov/Economist 2017-08-22 39 51
365 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-08-22 36 59
366 Harris/Harvard 2017-08-22 43 57
367 Quinnipiac 2017-08-22 35 59
368 PPP (D) 2017-08-21 40 53
369 ARG 2017-08-20 33 62
370 ABC/Post 2017-08-20 37 58
371 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-08-19 39 56
372 Gallup 2017-08-18 37 57
373 Rasmussen 2017-08-17 42 57
374 GWU/Battleground 2017-08-17 42 55
375 SurveyMonkey 2017-08-17 40 57
376 NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2017-08-15 35 51
377 YouGov/Economist 2017-08-15 39 51
378 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-08-15 35 58
379 Quinnipiac 2017-08-15 39 57
380 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-08-14 44 52
381 Monmouth University 2017-08-14 41 49
382 Marist 2017-08-12 35 55
383 Gallup 2017-08-11 37 57
384 Rasmussen 2017-08-10 45 53
385 SurveyMonkey 2017-08-10 41 57
386 NBC/WSJ 2017-08-09 40 55
387 YouGov/Economist 2017-08-08 37 53
388 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-08-08 37 59
389 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-08-06 40 55
390 CBS 2017-08-06 36 58
391 CNN 2017-08-06 38 56
392 Kaiser FF 2017-08-06 36 61
393 Gallup 2017-08-04 37 55
394 Rasmussen 2017-08-03 39 59
395 SurveyMonkey 2017-08-03 39 59
396 YouGov/Economist 2017-08-01 37 54
397 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-08-01 37 59
398 Quinnipiac 2017-08-01 33 61
399 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-07-29 43 53
400 Gallup 2017-07-28 39 56
401 Rasmussen 2017-07-27 41 59
402 SurveyMonkey 2017-07-27 39 58
403 YouGov/Economist 2017-07-25 39 51
404 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-07-25 35 59
405 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-07-24 44 51
406 Harris/Harvard 2017-07-24 44 56
407 Gallup 2017-07-21 38 57
408 Rasmussen 2017-07-20 43 57
409 ARG 2017-07-20 35 57
410 SurveyMonkey 2017-07-20 42 57
411 SurveyUSA/USA Today/iMediaEthics 2017-07-19 44 51
412 FOX 2017-07-18 41 53
413 YouGov/Economist 2017-07-18 38 54
414 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-07-18 38 58
415 PPP (D) 2017-07-17 41 55
416 Zogby 2017-07-16 42 54
417 Monmouth University 2017-07-16 39 52
418 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-07-15 43 51
419 Gallup 2017-07-14 38 57
420 Rasmussen 2017-07-13 43 57
421 ABC/Post 2017-07-13 36 58
422 SurveyMonkey 2017-07-13 42 55
423 Bloomberg/Selzer 2017-07-12 40 56
424 YouGov/Economist 2017-07-11 37 52
425 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-07-11 40 56
426 Kaiser FF 2017-07-10 38 57
427 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-07-09 46 50
428 Gallup 2017-07-07 38 56
429 Rasmussen 2017-07-06 45 55
430 SurveyMonkey 2017-07-06 43 55
431 YouGov/Economist 2017-07-04 38 52
432 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-07-04 38 57
433 Gallup 2017-06-30 38 57
434 Rasmussen 2017-06-29 46 54
435 SurveyMonkey 2017-06-29 41 56
436 FOX 2017-06-27 44 50
437 YouGov/Economist 2017-06-27 39 51
438 Suffolk/USA Today 2017-06-27 42 53
439 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-06-27 35 58
440 Quinnipiac 2017-06-27 40 55
441 NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2017-06-25 37 51
442 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-06-24 45 50
443 Gallup 2017-06-23 39 55
444 Rasmussen 2017-06-22 46 54
445 SurveyMonkey 2017-06-22 43 55
446 Harris/Harvard 2017-06-21 48 52
447 YouGov/Economist 2017-06-20 40 49
448 NBC/WSJ 2017-06-20 40 55
449 ARG 2017-06-20 37 59
450 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-06-20 38 59
451 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-06-19 44 52
452 Kaiser FF 2017-06-19 40 56
453 CBS 2017-06-18 36 57
454 Pew 2017-06-18 39 55
455 Gallup 2017-06-16 39 55
456 Rasmussen 2017-06-15 50 50
457 SurveyMonkey 2017-06-15 43 55
458 YouGov/Economist 2017-06-13 39 52
459 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-06-13 40 56
460 CNBC 2017-06-12 37 51
461 Zogby 2017-06-12 41 55
462 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-06-12 45 50
463 PPP (D) 2017-06-11 41 52
464 Gallup 2017-06-09 39 56
465 Rasmussen 2017-06-08 46 54
466 SurveyMonkey 2017-06-08 41 57
467 YouGov/Economist 2017-06-06 38 54
468 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-06-06 38 58
469 Quinnipiac 2017-06-06 34 57
470 IBD/TIPP 2017-06-06 37 55
471 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-06-02 44 52
472 Gallup 2017-06-02 37 57
473 Rasmussen 2017-06-01 44 56
474 SurveyMonkey 2017-06-01 42 57
475 YouGov/Economist 2017-05-30 38 51
476 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-05-30 40 55
477 Gallup 2017-05-26 41 54
478 Rasmussen 2017-05-25 46 54
479 SurveyMonkey 2017-05-25 41 55
480 FOX 2017-05-23 40 53
481 YouGov/Economist 2017-05-23 39 51
482 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-05-23 37 57
483 Quinnipiac 2017-05-23 37 55
484 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-05-22 46 50
485 Kaiser FF 2017-05-22 37 58
486 Harris/Harvard 2017-05-20 45 55
487 ARG 2017-05-20 39 56
488 Gallup 2017-05-19 37 56
489 Rasmussen 2017-05-18 44 56
490 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-05-18 41 52
491 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-05-18 38 56
492 SurveyMonkey 2017-05-18 40 58
493 Monmouth University 2017-05-17 39 53
494 YouGov/Economist 2017-05-16 39 51
495 PPP (D) 2017-05-14 40 54
496 NBC/WSJ 2017-05-13 39 54
497 Gallup 2017-05-12 40 55
498 Rasmussen 2017-05-11 45 55
499 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-05-11 45 47
500 SurveyMonkey 2017-05-11 43 54
501 YouGov/Economist 2017-05-09 41 51
502 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-05-09 43 52
503 Quinnipiac 2017-05-09 36 58
504 Gallup 2017-05-05 40 54
505 Rasmussen 2017-05-04 46 54
506 IBD/TIPP 2017-05-04 39 54
507 SurveyMonkey 2017-05-04 45 52
508 YouGov/Economist 2017-05-02 43 47
509 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-05-02 44 51
510 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-04-30 48 45
511 Zogby 2017-04-29 44 50
512 Gallup 2017-04-28 43 51
513 Rasmussen 2017-04-27 47 53
514 ICITIZEN 2017-04-27 32 68
515 SurveyMonkey 2017-04-27 46 52
516 FOX 2017-04-25 45 48
517 YouGov/Economist 2017-04-25 42 49
518 CNN 2017-04-25 44 54
519 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-04-25 41 53
520 CBS 2017-04-24 41 53
521 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-04-24 51 45
522 Kaiser FF 2017-04-23 45 50
523 Gallup 2017-04-21 42 52
524 Rasmussen 2017-04-20 49 51
525 Gravis Marketing/Orlando Political Observer 2017-04-20 42 49
526 ABC/Post 2017-04-20 42 53
527 NBC/WSJ 2017-04-20 40 54
528 ARG 2017-04-20 39 56
529 SurveyMonkey 2017-04-20 44 54
530 PPP (D) 2017-04-18 43 50
531 ICITIZEN 2017-04-18 34 65
532 YouGov/Economist 2017-04-18 41 49
533 Quinnipiac 2017-04-18 40 56
534 Harris/Harvard 2017-04-17 48 52
535 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-04-17 43 52
536 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-04-15 48 45
537 Gallup 2017-04-14 39 55
538 Rasmussen 2017-04-13 48 52
539 SurveyMonkey 2017-04-13 44 53
540 McClatchy/Marist 2017-04-12 39 49
541 ICITIZEN 2017-04-12 35 64
542 YouGov/Economist 2017-04-11 40 50
543 Pew 2017-04-11 39 54
544 CBS 2017-04-09 43 49
545 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-04-09 48 47
546 Gallup 2017-04-07 40 54
547 Rasmussen 2017-04-06 45 55
548 SurveyMonkey 2017-04-06 42 56
549 ICITIZEN 2017-04-05 35 65
550 YouGov/Economist 2017-04-04 40 48
551 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-04-04 46 50
552 Quinnipiac 2017-04-03 35 57
553 Kaiser FF 2017-04-03 41 55
554 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-04-01 47 49
555 Gallup 2017-03-31 40 56
556 Rasmussen 2017-03-30 43 57
557 IBD/TIPP 2017-03-30 34 56
558 SurveyMonkey 2017-03-30 42 56
559 ICITIZEN 2017-03-29 33 66
560 PPP (D) 2017-03-28 40 53
561 YouGov/Economist 2017-03-28 41 47
562 CBS 2017-03-28 40 52
563 NBC/SurveyMonkey 2017-03-28 42 56
564 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-03-28 44 49
565 McClatchy/Marist 2017-03-27 38 51
566 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-03-25 45 50
567 Gallup 2017-03-24 41 54
568 Rasmussen 2017-03-23 44 56
569 ICITIZEN 2017-03-23 37 62
570 SurveyMonkey 2017-03-23 42 55
571 YouGov/Economist 2017-03-21 41 46
572 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-03-21 47 47
573 Quinnipiac 2017-03-21 37 56
574 ARG 2017-03-20 41 54
575 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-03-19 50 44
576 Gallup 2017-03-17 40 55
577 Harris/Harvard 2017-03-16 49 51
578 Rasmussen 2017-03-16 48 52
579 ICITIZEN 2017-03-16 42 58
580 SurveyMonkey 2017-03-16 46 53
581 YouGov/Economist 2017-03-14 41 49
582 FOX 2017-03-14 43 51
583 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-03-14 45 49
584 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-03-13 52 43
585 PPP (D) 2017-03-12 43 50
586 Kaiser FF 2017-03-12 36 58
587 Pew 2017-03-12 43 55
588 Saint Leo University 2017-03-11 44 51
589 Gallup 2017-03-10 44 49
590 Rasmussen 2017-03-09 48 52
591 SurveyMonkey 2017-03-09 47 52
592 YouGov/Economist 2017-03-07 42 49
593 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-03-07 48 46
594 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-03-06 50 45
595 Quinnipiac 2017-03-06 41 52
596 Monmouth University 2017-03-05 43 46
597 Suffolk/USA Today 2017-03-05 47 44
598 CNN 2017-03-04 45 52
599 IBD/TIPP 2017-03-04 41 53
600 Gallup 2017-03-03 43 51
601 Rasmussen 2017-03-02 53 47
602 SurveyMonkey 2017-03-02 45 54
603 YouGov/Economist 2017-03-01 41 50
604 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-02-28 46 48
605 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-02-26 50 45
606 Gallup 2017-02-24 41 53
607 Rasmussen 2017-02-23 53 47
608 SurveyMonkey 2017-02-23 44 54
609 PPP (D) 2017-02-22 45 48
610 NBC/WSJ 2017-02-22 44 48
611 YouGov/Economist 2017-02-22 43 46
612 CBS 2017-02-21 39 51
613 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-02-21 45 50
614 Quinnipiac 2017-02-21 38 55
615 ARG 2017-02-20 43 51
616 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-02-19 49 44
617 McClatchy/Marist 2017-02-19 41 49
618 NBC/SurveyMonkey 2017-02-19 43 54
619 HuffPost/YouGov 2017-02-18 41 47
620 Gallup 2017-02-17 40 55
621 SurveyMonkey 2017-02-17 45 53
622 Rasmussen 2017-02-16 55 45
623 YouGov/Economist 2017-02-14 43 47
624 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-02-14 46 50
625 Harris/Harvard 2017-02-13 48 52
626 FOX 2017-02-13 48 47
627 Pew 2017-02-12 39 56
628 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-02-10 49 45
629 Gallup 2017-02-10 41 53
630 Rasmussen 2017-02-09 53 48
631 PPP (D) 2017-02-08 43 53
632 YouGov/Economist 2017-02-07 41 48
633 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-02-07 48 47
634 Quinnipiac 2017-02-06 42 51
635 SurveyMonkey 2017-02-05 46 52
636 Zogby 2017-02-04 47 43
637 Gallup 2017-02-03 44 50
638 CBS 2017-02-02 40 48
639 CNN 2017-02-02 44 53
640 Rasmussen 2017-02-02 54 46
641 IBD/TIPP 2017-02-02 42 48
642 PPP (D) 2017-01-31 47 49
643 YouGov/Economist 2017-01-31 43 44
644 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-01-31 46 47
645 SurveyMonkey 2017-01-30 48 50
646 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-01-28 49 41
647 Gallup 2017-01-27 42 50
648 Rasmussen 2017-01-26 55 45
649 YouGov/Economist 2017-01-25 41 35
650 Quinnipiac 2017-01-25 36 44
651 PPP (D) 2017-01-24 44 44
652 Ipsos/Reuters 2017-01-24 43 45
653 Politico/Morning Consult 2017-01-22 46 37

Methodology


(Even more info: here)

The idea that polling firms have differences unique to themselves is nothing new. Political scientists since the 1980’s have been documenting these effects. These so-called “house effects” have come to the foreground of political statistics in recent years, and as such are the major focus on our Trump Tracker.

Yet, the house effects aren’t the only component here. Determining Trump’s popularity is a three stage process, namely:
  1. Collect polls of Trump’s job approval
  2. Limit pollsters to one poll a week
  3. Adjust polls based on their house effects
  4. Average the polls, with those recent polls counting more than others

The first and second steps are easy, as is the fourth (we use a very simple exponential weighting formula similar to this) — which leaves the third for evaluation here. Below I briefly discuss step 3: how we determine house effects for this tracker, plus a few other discussions of systematic variance in Trump approval polls.

We compute the house adjustments used above by looking at the differences among polling firms with comparable survey methods who release polls at the same point in time. For example, Rasmussen and Public Policy Polling are some of the only pollsters who consistently use IVR/Online samples and apply a likely voter model to their top line. Rasmussen’s house effect is the difference in their polls from the average IVR/Online + likely voter poll.

The graph below plots the survey house effect for any pollster who has conducted two or more polls of Trump’s job approval.

Another way of looking at this is a simple box plot of Trump approval polls over the past two weeks. Here, the differences across survey houses are plainly illustrated.

As I mention in the the original analysis by Alexander Agadjanian and myself, there are also systematic differences among polls taken online, by automatic phone dialing, and by live interview over the phone. Those differences are listed here (note: these differences aren’t accounted for in the adjusted Trump approval rating above — that’s only house effects).

Over the next 4 years, more than 2,000 polls of President Donald Trump’s job approval will be released. Check back here each day for automatic(!) updates to this interactive. How popular will Trump be in 2019? We’ll be the first to know.

The code for the analysis behind this interactive can be found here. Polling data from Pollster.com.