Nov. 05, 2017 »
Does Money Matter in House Elections?
» Democratic challengers are raising much more cash than their Republican House opponents, but that may not actually matter for election outcomes.
Oct. 13, 2017 »
House 2018 Model Talk: Regression versus Simulation
» “All models are wrong, but some are useful.”
Oct. 07, 2017 »
Which House Retirements Help Democrats the Most? And Other Questions.
» The House map provides a huge upside for Democrats — if they can get there. There are several paths to a Democratic House, and my model can help us find them.
Aug. 16, 2017 »
How am I Forecasting the 2018 House Midterm Election?
» Combining Long-term national and local electoral preferences to forecast the 2018 US House midterms
Aug. 02, 2017 »
2018 U.S. House Midterm Elections Forecast
Jun. 18, 2017 »
Georgia 6 Could Come Down to All But A Coin Toss
» Data points to a near-photo-finish for Jon Ossoff (D) and Karen Handel ® in the Georgia 06 special election. They have almost equal odds of victory.
Jun. 14, 2017 »
Democrats are Voting Much More than Last Time Around
» But will these repeated Democratic waves turn into a Democratic tide?
May. 26, 2017 »
Montana Election Bolsters Predictions of a Large “Democratic Wave”
» Democrats performed better than expected in Montana’s special election Thursday, suggesting a large “Democratic wave” is coming.