Jan. 18, 2019 »
R for Political Data Science Week 3: How Marginal Tax Rates Work
» There has been some chatter about raising the top marginal tax rate to 70%. Here’s how tax rates actually work, and what a return to the 1970s rates could look like.
Jan. 11, 2019 »
R for Political Data Science Week 2: This Early Before 2020, It’s All About Name Recognition
» Ahead of the 2020 Democratic primary, there’s a very clear relationship between being better known and better liked.
Jan. 04, 2019 »
R for Political Data Science Week 1: Polarization in the 115th Congress
» How polarized were the most recennt members of the House of Representatives?
Oct. 10, 2018 »
LOESS vs Bayesian GAM for Finding Trends in Data
Sep. 19, 2018 »
The Political News That We’re Googling Ahead of the Midterms
Sep. 09, 2018 »
Women, Not a “Liberal Tea Party,” are Changing the Democratic Party
Feb. 10, 2018 »
GOP Pennsylvania Congressional Map Redraw is More of the Same
» Pennsylvania Republicans gerrymandered their state’s U.S. House map. After being ordered to redraw it, the proposed remedy is as bad — maybe even worse — than the old map.
Dec. 10, 2017 »
Roy Moore is Maybe, Probably Ahead in the Alabama Senate Race… Perhaps. Here’s What We Know.
» What do polls and fundamentals say about the AL Senate race between Roy Moore and Doug Jones? What should you pay attention to on election night?
Dec. 02, 2017 »
The Media Stopped Covering Roy Moore’s Sex Scandal, Then He Bounced Back
» Blame the media, at least in part, for Roy Moore bouncing back in the polls of the special election for Alabama’s Senate Seat.
Nov. 07, 2017 »
What To Expect in Virginia’s Gubernatorial Election (And Tips For Watching It)
» Democrat Ralph Northam is set to square off against Republican Ed Gillespie Tuesday evening. There are few certain clues to how it will turn out.
Sep. 26, 2017 »
What to Expect in the Alabama Senate GOP Primary Runoff
» Roy Moore is ahead in polling of the Alabama Senate GOP primary runoff, but can we really expect this Bannon-backed ex-judge to pull off a win?
Sep. 14, 2017 »
For NYT Upshot: How Much Can the Youth Vote Actually Help Democrats?
Aug. 19, 2017 »
American Political Ideology, A Twitter Bot Approach
» Social media presents us with one of the best ways to expose the ill-constrained political beliefs of 99%
Jul. 27, 2017 »
Have Democrats Really Lunged Left? Maybe Not.
» More Democrats identify as liberal than ever before, but key policy positions have changed little.
Jul. 22, 2017 »
Republican House Members Have Polarized More Than Their Democratic Counterparts
» Using some cool new graphics software to look at how Congress has changed over time.
Jul. 08, 2017 »
Congressional Elections are More Partisan, National than Ever Before
» The old maxim “all politics is local” has been ousted. “All politics is national” is the new(-ish) hip phrase.
Feb. 27, 2017 »
House Effects in Trump Approval Polls
» Not all polls are created equal.