Dynamics of (National) Electoral Preferences in the 2016 US Presidential Race

October 04, 2017


Hogg Professor of Government at the University of Texas at Austin Christopher Wlezien and I write on the dynamics of national polling in the 2016 US presidential election. Which events caused change? Which didn’t? Why did Hillary Clinton lose in a “surprise” Donald Trump upset victory? We answer these questions.


Dynamics of (National) Electoral Preferences in the 2016 US Presidential Race

Citation:

Wlezien, Christopher and George Elliott Morris. (2017). Dynamics of (National) Electoral Preferences in the 2016 US Presidential Race. In A. Cavari, R. Powell & K. Mayer (Eds.), The 2016 Presidential Election: The Causes and Consequences of a Political Earthquake. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books.

Buy the edited volume.

Earlier draft version (with the University of Michigan’s Stuart Soroka).